Potent Quotables (updated periodically)

  • "If you like sausages and laws, you should never watch either one of them being made." -- Otto von Bismarck
  • "God who gave us life, gave us liberty. Can the liberties of a nation be secure when we have removed a conviction that these liberties are the gift of God? Indeed I tremble for my country when I reflect that God is just, that his justice cannot sleep forever." -- Thomas Jefferson
  • "The best way to prove a stick is crooked is to lay a straight one beside it" -- FW Boreham
  • "There are two kinds of people in the world. Those who walk into a room and say, 'There you are' and those who say, 'Here I am'" -- Abigail Van Buren
  • "It was not political rhetoric, mass rallies or poses of moral indignation that gave the people a better life. It was capitalism." -- Thomas Sowell

Monday, November 09, 2009

Correlation and Causation

This interactive graphic at the NYT is interesting.

Among other things, it illustrates data that shows that almost half of black men aged 15-24 without a HS degree have been unemployed at some point during the last 12 months. On the other hand, only 3.5% of white women aged 25-44 with a college degree have been unemployed at some point during the last 12 months.

Some might look at this data and think about the latent racism of our country. I think the data behind the numbers deserves a deeper look.
1) Somewhere between 30-40% of the 15-24 age bracket is not old enough to have completed high school, much less received a degree.
2) Teenage unemployment rates are historically significantly higher than that of the general populace. Wage floors (i.e. minimum wage laws) are a primary contributor to this phenomenon.
3) Skin color does not determine employability or lack thereof. Availability of jobs (supply) is one primary factor. But boiling job availability down to the word "supply" dilutes what is an incredibly complex soup of corporate, economic, governmental, individual, geographical, geopolitical, and financial ingredients. Taking into account the availability of jobs, there will always be a certain subsection of individuals who are more likely to be employed: college educated, highly-skilled, charismatic, intelligent, well-spoken, those with many well-placed contacts. I could go on. None of those characteristics have anything to do with race, gender, or income.
4) In case you're curious, blacks make up approximately 13% of the US population. Black men are a little more than 6% of the population. Black men ages 15-24 are approximately 1% of the population. Simple math says that if about 50% of these men are unemployed, then that equates to around one-half of one percent of all the unemployed people (10.2% of the populace) in the United States.

All of which to say: stop focusing on one small subgroup of America and start focusing on creating jobs. Which, if you are a (rational) government means lower taxes on businesses and individuals, remove the federal minimum wage laws, provide for the common defense, reduce the federal deficit, and get out of the way while businesses create, market, and sell products and services; hire employees; and (in aggregate) grow the economy out of the mess we find ourselves in.

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